I agree. The market is too unpredictable. I was laying awake in bed last night and gave it some thought. Once one suspects the market is in a strong trend it makes more sense to only take on-trend trades. They occur much less frequently than the ...

A Simple Mean Reversion Strategy

Thanks for the replies. I don't have a strategy for deciding between a trending or ranging market. One of the most obvious methods would be to watch the curvature of the 200 MA. At an inflection point (curvature changes convexity) if it starts ...

A Simple Mean Reversion Strategy

First of all thanks to Riskcuit for posting this method. I have just stated trying it out on the 15 min using the highest performing pairs from IronPanda's investability list (Thanks IP). Works well! I'm having a problem hitting all the entries ...

A Simple Mean Reversion Strategy

Actually probability and possibility are very similar in that probability is simply the quantification(evaluation) of possibility. And one would argue that the HOLO system rules give the trader a higher probability of a successful trade. ...

Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade

Anybody here willing to make a call on today's open. I'm guessing AU will take off on the news. ???

No Indicator Trading System

On the subject of choosing S&R lines. For people having difficulty finding them a good substitute for experience is the Williams Fractal indicator. I realize this thread is indicator-free but it may give noobs a starting point. Nice thread and good ...

No Indicator Trading System

This thread still active? Modern AI's ought to kill this problem. No???

Machine Learning with algoTraderJo

I haven't followed this thread for a while but I came across this course at udacity today. Maybe some of you will be interested. url

Machine Learning with algoTraderJo

Thanks Felixis. I read their paper and it is a big improvement in NN development. Looks like it simplifies training too. Do you have source code for their method? I code in Delphi (objective pascal) but I can read C and C++. I would really like to ...

Machine Learning with algoTraderJo

fromPipMeUp : (I don't understand why the input layer is constrainted. I can use any number of past values to form the input sample.) You're right, but what I mean is the number of inputs is constrained by the number of training features (past ...

Machine Learning with algoTraderJo

Hi pipMeUp: Yes, I agree they are awkward. But if they are kept simple they are manageable. In this case, for instance, don't worry about topology, just use the one described by Algo. And use the same activation functions. As a rule, NN's work best ...

Machine Learning with algoTraderJo

@beachloup: Thanks for piping up to keep the thread running. I have been following it with interest too. The following quote from AlgoTraderJo may give you what you need (See page 13) : PM.

Machine Learning with algoTraderJo

This info will only be of use to members who write their own software. If you want to use the functions in R, such as plotting or NN such as AMORE, you can do a data dump from your software to a file format which can be read into R with the ...

Machine Learning with algoTraderJo

Really nice analysis you're doing here algoT. Enjoying the thread a lot. Are you using a stoploss in the recent ensemble models? Are you going to try using an artificial NN as the classifier tools in future? Even though they're a pain to ...

Machine Learning with algoTraderJo

I don't understand why the HA is considered important to this system. It leads the 50 ma but is insufficient to trigger a trade. The HA is always "on-colour" by the time a breach occurs, so it doesn't seem to add any new information.

MA of H-A system

Thanks for the Transient_Zones indicator FreeFox. Two things I've noticed about the TZ's : One is that the edges of a TZ often coicide with one or more SR levels. The second is that TZ's often form in price ranges where the price doesn't want to ...

The similarity system

Good point Chake. I meant a return toward the 50 line. In other words a drop in strength regardless of direction.

A delicate secret

Looking at the USDCAD 4H with an RSI(14) it seems that when a candle forms during a drop in the RSI, it has a fairly high probability of being engulfed by subsequent candles in a fairly short time (within one chart page as Eurusdd claims). Of course ...

A delicate secret

Look in the mirror Nelly.

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