Trade Recap Trade 49: -1R Trade 50: +2R Trade 51: -1R Trade 52: +1.44R The last two weeks have been quite eventful, producing four trades in total: two full losses and two winners. All four setups developed between two higher-timeframe points of ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

A Reality Check From 13+ Years of Data I've been reviewing the full history of my strategy (2013-2026) to put my current live drawdown into perspective. What I found was very reassuring. Top 5 longest drawdowns: 15 Feb 2019 → 19 Jun 2019: 124 days ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Trade Recap Trade 47: -1R Trade 48: -1R Two very quick losses following unsuccessful attempts to long EURUSD. Both setups were fully aligned with my strategy. In each case, price retraced into a Daily inverse FVG, a higher-timeframe point of ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

June 2026 Recap June finally brought some much-needed relief. Not only did the first month of Q3 close with a solid profit, but it also broke a seven-month streak of below-average monthly returns that had persisted since November 2025. Seeing +3.54R ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Trade Recap Trade 45: +2R Trade 46: -1R The final days of June and the beginning of July presented two valid opportunities, and I participated in both. Trade 45: +2R The first was a long setup following a clean H4 fractal low manipulation and an H1 ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Trade Recap Trade 44: -1R A full loss following a textbook long setup that was perfectly aligned with my strategy. The trade developed after a clean manipulation of two equal H4 fractal lows. Price then reversed, broke H1 market structure to the ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Trade Recap Trade 42: -0.1R Trade 43: +2R The last few trading days were a mix of frustration and reward, ultimately ending with a net positive result. Trade 42: -0.1R Last Friday presented a long opportunity following a textbook setup: a clean H4 ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Trade Recap Trade 41: -0.36R A reduced-risk loss following an unsuccessful attempt to long EURUSD. The setup was fully aligned with my playbook and the trade was executed exactly as planned. Price action allowed me to reduce risk during the trade, ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

May 2026 Recap May was yet another losing month, the second in a row, closing with a -1.7R loss for the strategy. It was an active month with 10 trades, but it is difficult to produce a positive outcome when the distribution consists of 5 full ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Trade Recap Trade 39: +2R Trade 40: -1R July opened with two trades — one winner and one loser — resulting in a net gain of +1R for the month so far. Both setups were textbook examples of my strategy and, more importantly, both were executed ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Trade Recap Trade 38: +2R A much-needed winning trade following yet another streak of unsuccessful attempts. This setup was a very clean manipulation of two H4 fractal lows followed by a somewhat subtle H1 market structure shift to the upside. I say ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Trade Recap Trade 36: -1R Trade 37: -0.6R Another two losing trades, both perfectly executed and fully aligned with my playbook. The first one, a long trade, was triggered at a freshly created New Week Opening Gap following a H4 fractal low ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Trade Recap Trade 34: BE (-0.1R) Trade 35: -1R This week closed in the red with two long trades taken against the broader bearish market structure that has been in place since last Monday. Both setups were fully valid according to my playbook and ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Trade Recap Trade 33: -1R A relatively quick loss following an unsuccessful attempt to long EURUSD after a classic setup: H4 fractal manipulation and a H1 structure break at a key higher-timeframe POI (daily imbalance). This was a completely ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Trade Recap Trade 31: -1R Trade 32: -1R Missed Opportunity The market continues to test both my discipline and resilience, delivering two consecutive full losses immediately after a sequence of three break-even trades. To make matters worse, I also ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

April 2026 Recap April closed with a -1R loss for the strategy. While this is obviously not the outcome I was hoping for and the equity curve remains flat—or even slightly declining—it is still reassuring to see that even during difficult periods, ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Trade Recap Trade 29: BE Trade 30: BE Break-even trades are relatively uncommon in my system, so having two in a row is definitely unusual. In fact, counting Trade #28, this marks the first sequence of three consecutive break-even trades in over 13 ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Trade Recap Trade 27: +2R Trade 28: BE Finally—the 5-trade losing streak is over. It felt like an eternity, with the last win recorded on April 2nd, almost a full month ago. Great to see a green result again, and hopefully this marks a shift back ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Backtesting Update – Strategy Continuation With the help of AI, I ran a deeper analysis of my trading strategy using 13 years of historical data. The goal was not to optimize or modify the strategy, but to objectively measure risk, stability, and ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal

Backtesting Update I’ve now completed my backtesting by extending the dataset back to 2013, bringing the total to 13+ years of data across a wide range of market conditions—bullish, bearish, ranging, and unique environments like the COVID period. ...

Compounding the Edge / Trading Journal