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- DGC replied May 17, 2010
The issue revolves around two questions: 1. Is the outcome random, or to some extent predictable (has patterns that conform to probabilistic analyses)? 2. Does the actor have the opportunity to effect their chances of success? In pure gambling the ...
- DGC replied May 17, 2010
I agree with Ivan. Markets are to some extent chaotic but certainly not random. It's important to know the difference between the two. The patterns that exist in markets are essentially unchanged for decades at least, though the 'personality' of ...
- DGC replied Feb 2, 2010
You can get some good info at Investopedia: url For a broker, you can try IGMarkets (options and binary options) or HedgeStreet (binary options). Watch out for binaries, though. The dealer (broker?) sets the payouts based on the odds so the deck ...
- DGC replied Feb 1, 2010
This article seems to be referring mostly to very short term trading algorithms, whereas I've seen an increasing interest in mechanical systems to sniff out longer term swings and trends. Interestingly, it would seem that the two may be ...
- DGC replied Feb 1, 2010
I'm with these other guys... I wait to see what the market tells me, I check my research to determine what different movements will mean in the context of prevailing market conditions... Then I run from the room screaming like a little girl!
- DGC replied Jan 29, 2010
This is just a thought, but perhaps you could contact NFA or CFTC or something. Surely the gov has been keeping records all these years... They should be available for public dissemination.
- DGC replied Jan 29, 2010
David, could you please be a little clearer in stating your opinion? Don't beat around the bush, just come right out and say it!!
- DGC replied Jan 29, 2010
I think I'd be looking for a short and not a long here. The hourly chart shows a higher low and a higher high, but looking at the H4 you see that there's still been no penetration of the longer term trendline, which is down, and there's no higher ...
- DGC replied Jan 28, 2010
There's a lot of good advice on this page about identifying S&R levels, but my favorite method these days is by using Renko charts. The turning points on the higher brick (30+ pips) settings give strong indication of where the market barriers lie. I ...
- DGC replied Jan 28, 2010
I had an idea once for a system that would place many (100+ at times) trades based on statistical probabilities. The idea was that if you take trades that have a statistical likelihood to make a set amount of profit, you would be right more often ...
- DGC replied Jan 28, 2010
That's easy. Buy or sell when price crosses 60SMA and exit when 60SMA turns in the same direction as the price. Not bad for the timid (quick exits with profit) but really sucky on whipsaws.
- DGC replied Jan 28, 2010
So you're looking to make an EA that only buys, and never sells? I just want to be clear on what you're trying to do. It's not obvious from your description.
- DGC replied Jan 28, 2010
Looks intriguing. I've seen some very good work from these guys before. Can you give us a basic idea of what it's doing under the hood, though? Just a quick lowdown on the style of trading perhaps, not the actual logic that's being used, of course. ...
- DGC replied Jan 28, 2010
Perhaps 100 Million ants! We really are just specks of dust in the Forex wind, you know...
- DGC replied Jan 28, 2010
Axiom: A pattern that has held for 9 months will probably continue for the next week.
- DGC replied Jan 28, 2010
I'm slightly confused by the inconsistent use of RR terminology used in this thread. In some places it is stated as 'risk to reward' and in others it's stated as 'reward to risk'. Mathematically these two are opposites. A high risk to reward ratio = ...
- DGC replied Jan 28, 2010
Good points. I especially like the use of the PSAR to avoid whipsaws. Agree about the need to use EMAs (or other line chart) to see crosses more clearly. I'll try to write a strategy for this to do some testing.. Renko opens up a whole new world of ...
- DGC replied Jan 27, 2010
I would agree with the sentiment of the OP. My stocks, which I bought back in March, are showing nearly 35% appreciation. Another poster may have a point, though, about this being a 'bounce'... I'm considering whether it's time to take my profits...
- DGC replied Jan 18, 2010
My version doesn't repaint at all, but is rather a pretty good low lag filter. Perhaps you're not clear about what repainting is. This article does a good job of explaining it: url
- DGC replied Jan 18, 2010
Do you know what this fisher indy is calculating? The Fisher transform is not really an indicator in itself but rather a way of modifying an oscillator. It can be applied to virtually any oscillator, so I think it's important to understand what the ...