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Heading into Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting, short-term interest rate markets expect no change from the current level of 5.375%. So, the question is going to be if the Fed changes its forward rate guidance. Remember, we will get dot plot ...
Gold prices are in a major focus right now ahead of the US CPI print due to be released on Wednesday at 1:30 UK time. Gold is extremely sensitive to US interest rate expectations and dollar moves. This has meant that gold prices are being pushed and ...
Gold has been pressured recently by USD gains, and rising real yields. This has resulted in gold pulling back recently from recent highs and moving back towards key daily support levels. Many analysts are expecting the case to remain bullish for ...
The US CPI print will be important this week to see whether the Fed really has reached the end of its hiking cycle. The print that the Fed wants to see is the headline continues to fall and, perhaps, even more importantly, the core reading to fall ...
On Friday we have the US CORE PCE print. The personal consumption expenditures print measures the spending on goods and services by the citizens of the United States. Around 2012, the PCE index became the main inflation index used by the Federal ...
The latest SVB news has greatly changed interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. Short Term Interest Rate markets have reacted very strongly to the news pricing back into rates markets a year-end rate cut. Similarly, ...
Last week saw gold taking another rally higher on further relief/confirmation that US inflation has peaked. The US CPI headline print was in line with the consensus of 6.5% and the core was too at 5.7%. These readings were also both down, lower from ...
video The outlook for gold has been improving since the US10Y bond yield appeared to cap out around the 4.35% region at the end of October last year. The USD also gave up its September high adding to support for gold. One of the expectations for ...
Platinum is one metal that has an amazing seasonal start to the year. The reason is largely due to the fact that Platinum buying takes place around the start of the year, so there is a disproportionate amount of buying that takes place. This ...
You may have heard that gold tends to be strong around the end of the year. So, how to choose a great time of seasonal strength for gold? With Seasonax tool you can identify a strong seasonal pattern. Choose which date to start and use the de-trend ...
outlook for the Federal Reserve is mixed. On one hand, the US economy could be heading towards a recession next year. The November FOMC minutes stated that it was the ‘base case’. Slowing business activity, the cost of living, falling export demand, ...
Gold has long been touted as an inflation hedge, but now really could be the time for gold to shine. If it does, then there are some very strong seasonals ahead for the precious metal. Over the last 10 years, Gold has gained 9 times out of 10 ...
video The reasons for USD strength have been well documented this year as the Fed took a hawkish policy stance to control surging US inflation, and safe haven bids also boosted the USD. However, recently there has been a big rise in USD short ...
Last week the FOMC minutes showed that the Fed now saw a US recession for 2023 as pretty much a ‘base case’. This was a surprise revelation and allowed markets to sell the USD in the expectation that the Fed will be less aggressive in hiking rates ...
video The world is making a sharp pivot to ‘green energy’. One commodity that is crucial to that is copper. Copper is both relatively easy to shape and a great conductor. As electric vehicles, solar farms, wind farms and other renewable energies ...
It has been a difficult year for investors across the board, with all but the dollar and energy bulls seriously struggling in this higher rate and inflationary environment. Something investors often forget is the importance of defensive trades, and ...
A recent article by Bloomberg has flagged a problem with the copper market. It comes from a storage facility in Shanghai’s free trade zone where the Yangtze River meets the Pacific. These warehouses contained copper stockpiles and boomed on a ...
One ratio that precious metal traders must know about is the gold/silver ratio. This ratio shows the price of silver relative to gold. When the gold/silver ratio is high it means that silver is cheap relative to gold. So, how do you use the ...
When a major news announcement is about to be released financial markets typically consolidate. Ranges become smaller, volume dries up, and volatility falls. Why? Simply because few traders want to take financial risk prior to a major news event. ...
In the near term, copper is set for more falls on global recessionary fears brought on by central banks aggressively hiking interest rates. However, some copper miners are warning that copper supply could be unable to meet future demands from green ...