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- 145 Results (144 Replies, 1 Comments)
- Vorenzd replied Apr 3, 2020
Yeah, a lot will happen soon. It'll be pretty bad for some people, but i guess the system did need some purging of such institutions. There was a series of earthquakes in Zagreb, with a few of them being around 5.4 richter, the highest in over 140 ...
- Vorenzd replied Apr 2, 2020
Exactly what you've been talking about for a few months now has happened! Nice one EF!! I was a lot more optimistic, i didn't expect things to go south this fast. It's very interesting how a natural event like a pandemic occurs "at just ...
- Vorenzd replied Feb 25, 2020
Right now if DAX stays within the "Hunt" zone, we could see a recovery by the end of this week. I'm not so sure this will happen considering the increase in coronavirus cases in Europe and new confirmed cases in Austria and Croatia. The hunt zones ...
- Vorenzd replied Feb 25, 2020
No. As i have explained as long as they outpace inflation they do not have to. There are MANY examples of this which i can gladly provide if you ask nicely. If you want to communicate with me provide a proper reply, write your reasoning. You can ...
- Vorenzd replied Feb 24, 2020
Higher wages don't have to come at the expense of investments and they can affect real GDP significantly. If I understood correctly in your scenario wage growth is equal to inflation, but more ofthen then not wage growth outpaces inflation by quite ...
- Vorenzd replied Feb 21, 2020
Good to be back The December labor market report shows that the labor market generally remains on a firm foundation. Employment gains have averaged 184K per month over the past three months. Although not quite as strong as a year ago, this ...
- Vorenzd replied Feb 20, 2020
I'll explain the 4 sector model to those who haven't encountered these formulas yet. Lots of this stuff is not on Wikipedia or the "general internet" but is taught in most economics courses. C = Alpha + Beta * (Y-T) where Alpha is autonomous ...
- Vorenzd replied Feb 20, 2020
Leadinx Index data from today suggests that the US is still expanding very nicely and supports views that arecession is not due yet. LEI Chart image In the last 8 months, LEI has fallen 6 times, this jump from January and some recession models ...
- Vorenzd replied Nov 18, 2019
Will the FED go negative? I'd like to start a small discussion related to FED potentially going into negative rates in the near future. The main question is will the fed go negative? Policy rates are negative in a large number of economies, ...
- Vorenzd replied Nov 18, 2019
Will the FED go negative? I'd like to start a small discussion related to FED's monetary policy stance and give a few of my opinions on the topic. The main question is will the fed go negative? Policy rates are negative in a large number of ...
- Vorenzd replied Sep 26, 2019
Great comparison to plumbing! Jim Kwik, a memory expert says the fastest way to learn something is to forget everything you know about it before... I think that's very applicable to trading. I mostly trade futures and equities, all of those ...
- Vorenzd replied Sep 26, 2019
That is how I also started, I spent 13 years as an analyst and not as a trader because I was HORRIBLE at trade managment, but I was very good at determinig the future price / direction. During those 13 years I've learned a lot from more experienced ...
- Vorenzd replied Sep 26, 2019
Yeah man, you definetly have some good points. I'm glad you like my post. It's never about TE or results, someone can have 1000000000% return, but that shouldn't matter to anyone if they can't share their knowledge... I've never been a "lets ...
- Vorenzd replied Sep 26, 2019
Hard to find on a free internet forum where people who don't know anything about trading pretend to be best traders in the world? Ofcourse they are. A real trader does not need to prove himself to a forum, a real trader remains low key and educates, ...
- Vorenzd replied Sep 24, 2019
Durable Goods • Friday 27.9.2018. Event preview: Durable goods have rose for 2 months straight, with the July rise being 2.0%. I'm expecting a sharp decrease in durable good orders on Friday. The 737 MAX-8 aircraft has still not been cleared for ...
- Vorenzd replied Sep 23, 2019
I definetly agree that it would be a very atypical sequence of events, but then again, there is nothing typical about the housing market in Europe at the moment, we've never had a housing market that depends on tourism so much... and when a crash ...
- Vorenzd replied Sep 21, 2019
Yeah, unfortunately there are no high quality papers that give a conclusive answer to this question, I'm doing some research on that subject and i've found some interesting correlations, including a correlation with the housing market. Note that ...
- Vorenzd replied Sep 20, 2019
On top of lower mortage rate and the economy improving, i believe there is another factor that's contributing to the housing market, a factor that many ignore and classify as non economic, but i'd say it still has an influence. In my opinion it has ...
- Vorenzd replied Sep 19, 2019
Hello NorthTrader, You are completely right. Some of my other posts also had copied parts, however most are original - especially the comments and responses to other users. However this does not justify what I have done and I'd like to apologize. ...
- Vorenzd replied Sep 18, 2019
Post Event Commentary - FOMC meeting As widely expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) reduced its target range for the fed funds rate 25 bps at its policy meeting today (top chart). Moreover, the statement that was released at the ...