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A Huge Windfall for Putin
From robinjbrooks.substack.com
In my post over the weekend, I flagged that Russia is by far the biggest winner from fighting in the Gulf. That’s because the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is flipping the global oil market from surplus to deficit in a very short period. As a result, Russian oil has gone from global pariah to now being extremely sought after, with the discount on Urals crude versus the global Brent benchmark almost disappearing. If this is allowed to persist, Russia will reap another 2022-style windfall. That windfall was so big that it - in one year - made up for all of Russia’s official FX reserves frozen by the West. The ... (full story)