Oil, Metals, and More Geopolitical Risk

BLS won't release January jobs report on Friday - Barron's PARTIAL SHUTDOWN DELAYS JANUARY JOBS REPORT The partial government shutdown has pushed back the January 2026 jobs report, originally set for Feb 6, along with December’s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey and Metropolitan Area Employment data. The Bureau of Labor Statistics…

It was an Honor to speak with Prime Minister Modi, of India, this morning. He is one of my greatest friends and, a Powerful and Respected Leader of his Country. We spoke about many things, including Trade, and ending the War with Russia and Ukraine. He agreed to stop buying Russian Oil, and to buy much more from the United States and, potentially, Venezuela. This will help END THE WAR in Ukraine, which is taking place right now, with thousands of people dying each and every week! Out of friendship and respect for Prime Minister Modi and, as per his request, effective immediately, we agreed to a Trade Deal between the United States and India, whereby the United States will charge a reduced Reciprocal Tariff, lowering it from 25% to 18%. They will likewise move forward to reduce their Tariffs and Non Tariff Barriers against the United States, to ZERO. The Prime Minister also committed to “BUY AMERICAN,” at a much higher level, in addition to over $500 BILLION DOLLARS of U.S. Energy, Technology, Agricultural, Coal, and many other products. Our amazing relationship with India will be even stronger going forward. Prime Minister Modi and I are two people that GET THINGS DONE, something that cannot be said for most. Thank you for your attention to this matter! PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP Trump: India's Modi agreed to stop buying Russian oil and to buy much more from the US and, potentially, Venezuela – Truth Social *US TO LOWER INDIA'S 'RECIPROCAL' TARIFF RATE TO 18% FROM 25% ... Trump: India will likewise move forward to reduce their tariffs and non-tariff barriers against the United States to zero. - Truth Social TRUMP: PM ALSO COMMITTED TO "BUY AMERICAN" IN ADDITION TO OVER $500 BLN DOLLARS OF U.S. ENERGY, TECHNOLOGY, AGRICULTURAL, COAL, AND OTHER PRODUCTS

FED'S BOSTIC: A STRONG ECONOMY WILL LIMIT THE EXTENT OF DISINFLATION. FED'S BOSTIC: THE OUTLOOK FOR 2026 IS A CONTINUED RESILIENT ECONOMY. ... Fed's Bostic: Noone is projecting a worsening of the labor market. By midyear, will have reached an equilibrium with the economy. FED'S BOSTIC: WE ARE NOT THROUGH WITH INFLATION FROM TARIFFS. ... FED’S BOSTIC: POLICY IS NOT HEAVILY RESTRICTIVE, ONE OR TWO CUTS COULD REACH NEUTRAL, NO RATE CUTS PROJECTED FOR 2026, AND IT IS PREMATURE TO SAY THE INFLATION JOB IS DONE ...