Contango and Backwardation
From substack.com
Futures curves quietly tell you what the market cares about most. Not direction or momentum. But time, availability, and urgency. Understanding contango and backwardation is less about forecasting price and more about reading the state of the underlying market. Especially for storable commodities and rate-sensitive products, the curve often reveals more than the front-month chart ever will. A futures curve plots prices for the same asset across different delivery months. Each point on the curve answers a simple question: What price does the market demand for delivery at a specific point in the future? The shape of ...
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