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Rates Spark: Sterling rates and US TIC data
Whilst sterling rates have come down significantly over the past month, a rethink of the economic outlook could offset some of these gains. We still see further weakness in the jobs market, but Thursday’s monthly GDP numbers did bring some optimism. When you see 5Y rates underperform the rest of the curve, markets are signalling a more positive take on the business cycle. In effect, this also pushes back the Bank of England's easing expectations. And indeed, the probability of a rate cut in March is gradually falling, with now just 9bp priced in. Next week will be important for GBP rates as we get more inflation ... (full story)
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From @realDonaldTrump|Jan 15, 2026|55 comments
Great Financial Numbers were released today — Our Country has never done better! So many people ask me the reason for this, and I tell them, in just one word — TARIFFS! We’ve taken in Hundreds of Billions of Dollars, with virtually No Inflation, and our National Security has never been as strong as it is today. GOD BLESS THE U.S.A.
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- Jan 15, 2026 7:02pm Posted byFundamental Analysis974
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