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RBA Financial Stability Review October 2025
In an environment of heightened risk in the international system, stress events have the potential to interact with – and amplify – existing vulnerabilities and generate disruptive shocks. While April’s sharp global spike in market volatility did not give rise to significant financial stability concerns in Australia, this was likely helped by its short duration. Volatility in international financial markets has subsided over recent months – to long-run average levels or below – as the prospect of the most severe form of retaliatory global trade war receded somewhat. However, the international outlook ... (full story)
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This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on September 17, 2025. This summary reflects discussions and deliberations by members of Governing Council in stage three of the Bank’s monetary policy decision-making process. This stage takes place after members have received all staff briefings and recommendations. Governing Council’s policy decision-making meetings began on September 12, 2025. The Governor presided over these meetings. Members in attendance were Governor Tiff Macklem, Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers and Deputy Governors Toni Gravelle, Sharon Kozicki, Nicolas Vincent, and Michelle Alexopoulos. Deputy Governor Rhys Mendes did not attend. BoC Meeting Minutes: Members reviewed a broad range of inflation indicators and agreed they continued to point to underlying inflation of around 2.5%. Experts Say Household Spending Will Continue To Boost Growth, Supporting Slight Expansion As Previously Estimated, But Warn That Trade Disruptions Could Add Costs With Uncertain Timing, Magnitude, And Inflation Effects.
FED'S LOGAN: INFLATION IS RUNNING ABOVE TARGET, TRENDING HIGHER LOGAN: WE NEED TO BE VERY CAUTIOUS ABOUT RATE CUTS LOGAN: MUST NOT EASE TOO MUCH, ONLY TO HAVE TO REVERSE COURSE pic.twitter.com/oHeHNL7qiY Fed's Logan: Inflation Is Running Above Target, Trending Higher - Have Seen Marked Decline In Payroll Gains - Risks On Both Sides Of Fed's Mandate - Recent Cut Was Insurance Against More Rapid, Non-Linear Decline In Labour Market - Demand Remains Pretty Resilient Fed's Logan: Policy isn't more than modestly restrictive, which is appropriate. Fed's Logan: Inflation on its way back to 2%, but there are risks. FED'S LOGAN: ‘VERY CLOSE’ TO MAXIMUM EMPLOYMENT
BoJ's Uchida: Japan's economy recovering despite some weakness BoJ's Uchida: Tankan showed business sentiment positive overall as uncertainty over the US tariff outlook recedes BoJ's Uchida: Consumption remains solid BoJ's Uchida: Real rate is at a significantly low level BoJ's Uchida: Underlying inflation likely to stagnate for some period before re-accelerating gradually as inflation expectations heighten
