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Kashkari: Three Questions
Given large concurrent changes to trade, immigration, and tax policies as well as mixed signals from the economy, it is challenging to assess with confidence which side of our dual mandate is at greater risk: price stability or maximum employment. In this essay I describe potential answers to three important questions that I am wrestling with and explain how they inform my current view of the optimal path for monetary policy. Question 1: How can I reconcile mixed signals from the labor market and from financial markets? The labor market appears to be weakening. The last four payroll employment numbers have been ... (full story)
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Kashkari Says Neutral Rate Has Likely Increased To 3.1% And Fed Policy Is Not As Tight As Previously Thought, With Two More Quarter-Point Rate Cuts Expected This Year
— RedboxGlobal (@RedboxWire) September 19, 2025
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From @FirstSquawk|Sep 19, 2025|5 commentsKashkari Says Upcoming Rate Hikes Will Function Like Insurance To Maintain Stable Labor Market Fed's Kashkari: I am not hearing anecdotes of much hiring or firing; firms are on pause, which means the job market is fragile. Fed's Kashkari: It Is Possible That Cutting The Short-Term Rates Will Not Translate Into Lower Long-Term Rates - Not Sure How Many More Cuts Would Be Needed To Get To Neutral
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