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US Treasury Reveals Lower Than Expected Rate Of Debt Sales In Quarterly Refunding Plan; Yields Slide
We already knew - after its publication on Monday - that in the current quarter, the Treasury expected to issue $776BN in debt in the current quarter, or some $76BN below the previous forecast published last quarter, a welcome slowdown in debt issuance as a result of slightly higher than expected tax receipts in October. Today's Treasury Refunding Announcement gave the details of what the composition of this issuance would be, with a focus on Coupon vs Bill sales. Here is what we learned: next week, the US Treasury's debt sales will total $112BN, which while an increase from the $103BN unveiled in August, was less ... (full story)
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Treasury announces upcoming auction sizes • 2 year auctions increase $3 billion/month • 3 year auctions increase $2 billion/month • 5 year auctions increase $3 billion/month • 10 year auctions increase $2 billion/month • 30 year auctions increase $1 billion/month • The Treasury said it expects one additional quarter of increased auction sizes beyond what's announced today. Expectations I've seen: • 2 year auctions expected to increase $3 billion/month • 3 year auctions expected to increase $2 billion/month • 5 year auctions expected to increase $3 billion/month • 10 year auctions expected to increase $3 billion/month • 30 year auctions expected to increase $2 billion/month Current portion of bills at 20.4% Goldman Sachs though is much lower seeing: post: *US BOOSTS AUCTION SIZES FOR NOMINAL NOTES, BONDS EXCEPT 20YR *US TREASURY BOOSTS REFUNDING BY $9B TO $112B, BELOW $114B EST. *US TEMPERS PACE OF BOOSTS TO 10-, 30-YEAR; KEEPS 20-YEAR STEADY post: ?*TREASURY PLANS INCREASES TO DECEMBER, JANUARY TIPS AUCTIONS *US TO MAINTAIN BILL AUCTION SIZES INTO LATE NOVEMBER *US SEES MODEST CUTS TO SHORT-DATED BILL SALES BY EARLY DEC.Treasury details plans to step up size of bond sales to manage growing debt load and higher rates The Treasury Department announced plans Wednesday to accelerate the size of its auctions as it looks to handle its heavy debt load and with financing costs rising. In a development getting close attention on Wall Street, the department detailed its refunding plans for future debt sales. The announcement comes with Treasury yields around their highest levels since 2007, a reflection of financial markets spooked over how much damage higher borrowing costs could exact. Most immediately, Treasury will auction $112 billion in debt next week to refund $102.2 billion of notes set to mature Nov. 15, raising more than $9 billion in extra funds. The sale will come in three parts, starting Tuesday with $48 billion in 3-year notes, with subsequent days featuring respective sales of $40 billion in 10-year notes then $24 billion in 30-year bonds. The total sale matched some estimates around Wall Street in recent days. From there, the department said it will increase the auction size of various maturities, focusing more on coupon-bearing notes and bonds. The department will maintain its current auction size for bills until late November, when it expects to have its General Account replenished enough to implement “modest reductions” through mid- to late-January. For auctions on coupon securities, the department detailed a step up in the pace from previous levels, while it said longer-dated debt would increase at a “more moderate” rate. The department expects to increase the sizes for 2- and 5-year notes by $3 billion a month, the 3-year
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- Posted: Nov 1, 2023 9:32am
- Submitted by:Category: Fundamental AnalysisComments: 0 / Views: 2,368