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ECB Sounds Warning Over Waning Market Liquidity as Rates Rise
The euro area’s markets could see “stressed liquidity” due to heightened economic uncertainty, monetary policy normalization and tighter financial conditions, according to the European Central Bank. In a report released ahead of Wednesday’s financial stability review, the central bank highlighted the region’s market and funding liquidity conditions deteriorating simultaneously since early 2022. This is unusual and indicators suggest market liquidity is now as low as during the onset of the pandemic in early 2020, it said. The trend comes as central banks reduce the accommodative monetary policy and large ... (full story)
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The COT reports are issued by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the ICE Exchange Europe for Brent crude oil and gas oil. They are released every Friday ...
Warren B. Mosler noted central bank are buying gold at a record pace and that adds to global inflation. A second reader asked if I agreed. Inflation Meaning Q. What does central ...
Texas factory activity remained relatively flat in May, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, inched down from 0.9 to -1.3, with the near-zero reading suggestive of little change in output from last month. Other measures of manufacturing activity showed declines in May. The new orders index has now been in negative territory for a year and pushed down further from -9.6 to -16.1. The growth rate of orders index also fell, declining 10 points to -20.7, its lowest value since mid-2020. The capacity utilization index moved down from 3.9 to -4.9, while the shipments index was unchanged at -3.0. Perceptions of broader business conditions continued to worsen in May. The general business activity index dropped six points to -29.1, its lowest reading in three years. The company outlook index pushed down seven points to -22.3, also a three-year low. The outlook uncertainty index retreated to 13.4, a reading below average. Labor market measures suggest continued employment growth but flat work hours. The employment index ticked up two points to 9.6, slightly above its average reading. Twenty-three percent of firms noted net hiring, while 13 percent noted net layoffs. The hours worked index inched up to -0.9. Price pressures dropped further below normal levels, and wage pressures also eased but remained elevated. The raw materials prices index fell six points to 13.8, further below its average reading of 27.8. The finished goods prices index fell eight points to 0.4, with the near-zero reading suggestive of flat selling prices. The wages and benefits index declined 13 points to 25.0, a reading now only slightly above its average of 21.0. Expectations regarding future manufacturing activity were mixed in May. The future production index rebounded from 3.0 to 12.0, while the future general business activity index remained negative, edging up to - post at 10:36am: Dallas Fed: "We are seeing all indications of a continued slide in demand (three quarters now)." "Business is slowing down. That is certain" "There is nothing encouraging on the horizon. The war on fossil fuels and higher interest rates continue to make things worse."
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post at 1:13pm: Fed’s Barkin: Looking For Signs That Demand Is Falling post at 1:14pm: RICHMOND FED'S BARKINQ&A/NABE: REPEATS, NEED TO BRING DEMAND DOWN AND ITS 'PLAUSIBLE STORY' THAT RATE HIKES, OTHER FACTORS, HAVE SOFTENED DEMAND; WAITING TO SEE DATA THAT CONFIRMS THAT ' #Barkin #FederalReserve post at 1:15pm: FED'S BARKIN: IT IS HARD TO COUNT ON RATE HIKES TO DO ALL WORK ON INFLATION. post at 1:17pm: FED'S BARKIN: SOME PARTS OF THE ECONOMY APPEAR TO BE COOLING, OTHERS REMAIN VIBRANT. post at 1:21pm: FED'S BARKIN: THERE IS MORE WILLINGNESS AMONG BUSINESSES TO TRY TO INCREASE PRICES, AND THAT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL DEMAND FALLS.
post at 1:24pm: RICHMOND FED'S BARKINQ&A/NABE INFLATION 'GOING TO BE MORE STUBBORN THAN MANY PEOPLE WOULD HOPE;' EVEN IN VOLCKER ERA, TOOK YEARS #Barkin #FederalReserve
For most of the past 20 years stock prices and bond prices tended to move in opposite directions. This made buying 10-year Treasury bonds a good hedge for investors seeking to ...
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- Posted: May 30, 2023 12:42pm
- Submitted by:Category: Fundamental AnalysisComments: 0 / Views: 1,623