EZ Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y
Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate;
Eurostat bases this estimate on 13 euro area member states that report early CPI data. There are 2 versions of this report released about two weeks apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Apr 2013, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance;
- EZ Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y Graph
- History
| Expected Impact / Date | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | 2.4% | 2.5% |
2.6% |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
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- EZ Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y News
From ec.europa.eu|Jul 1, 2026|2 commentsEuro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.8% in June 2026, down from 3.2% in May according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, energy is expected to have the highest annual rate in June (8.7%, compared with 10.8% in May), followed by services (3.2%, compared with 3.5% in May), food, alcohol & tobacco (1.6%, compared with 1.9% in May) and non-energy industrial goods (0.9%, stable compared with May).
From ec.europa.eu|Jun 2, 2026|2 commentsEuro area annual inflation is expected to be 3.2% in May 2026, up from 3.0% in April according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, energy is expected to have the highest annual rate in May (10.9%, compared with 10.8% in April), followed by services (3.5%, compared with 3.0% in April), food, alcohol & tobacco (2.0%, compared with 2.4% in April) and non-energy industrial goods (0.9%, compared with 0.8% in April). tables
From ec.europa.eu|Apr 30, 2026|1 commentEuro area annual inflation is expected to be 3.0% in April 2026, up from 2.6% in March according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, energy is expected to have the highest annual rate in April (10.9%, compared with 5.1% in March), followed by services (3.0%, compared with 3.2% in March), food, alcohol & tobacco (2.5%, compared with 2.4% in March) and non-energy industrial goods (0.8%, compared with 0.5% in March).
From ec.europa.eu|Mar 31, 2026|1 commentEuro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.5% in March 2026, up from 1.9% in February according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, energy is expected to have the highest annual rate in March (4.9%, compared with -3.1% in February), followed by services (3.2%, compared with 3.4% in February), food, alcohol & tobacco (2.4%, compared with 2.5% in February) and non-energy industrial goods (0.5%, compared with 0.7% in February).The ...
From think.ing.com|Mar 3, 2026|5 commentsLet's look back at February: inflation increased from 1.7% to 1.9%. The negative contribution from energy prices was smaller in February, but most importantly, core inflation jumped from 2.2% to 2.4%. The increase was seen for both services and goods inflation, and shows that, even before the Middle East conflict began, inflationary pressures had far from fully abated. From here on, things are set to get bumpier again. While we had expected inflation to remain below 2% for most of the year, the risk to the outlook is clearly up due ...
- From ec.europa.eu|Mar 3, 2026
Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 1.9% in February 2026, up from 1.7% in January according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, services is expected to have the highest annual rate in February (3.4%, compared with 3.2% in January), followed by food, alcohol & tobacco (2.6%, stable compared with January), non-energy industrial goods (0.7%, compared with 0.4% in January) and energy (-3.2%, compared with -4.0% in January). The ...
From cnbc.com|Feb 4, 2026Euro zone inflation cooled to 1.7% in January, flash data from statistics agency Eurostat showed Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had expected the inflation rate to dip to 1.7%, down from 2% in December. Core inflation, which excludes more volatile energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices, stood at 2.2% in January, down a touch from the 2.3% seen in the year to December. The latest data shows the key inflation rate has now dipped below the European Central Bank’s 2% target, meaning it’s likely to steer clear of any more rate ...
From ec.europa.eu|Feb 4, 2026|1 commentEuro area annual inflation is expected to be 1.7% in January 2026, down from 2.0% in December according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, services is expected to have the highest annual rate in January (3.2%, compared with 3.4% in December), followed by food, alcohol & tobacco (2.7%, compared with 2.5% in December), non-energy industrial goods (0.4%, compared with 0.3% in December) and energy (-4.1%, compared with -1.9% in December).
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