US Chicago PMI
It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy;
Data is given to MNI subscribers 3 minutes before the public release time listed on the calendar - early market reaction is usually a result of trades made by these subscribers. Above 50.0 indicates expansion, below indicates contraction;
- US Chicago PMI Graph
- History
| Expected Impact / Date | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | 56.7 | 55.7 | 62.7 |
| May 29, 2026 | 62.7 | 50.6 | 49.2 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 49.2 | 54.8 | 52.8 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 52.8 | 54.8 | 57.7 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 57.7 | 52.0 | 54.0 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 54.0 | 43.5 | 43.5 |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 43.5 | 39.8 | 36.3 |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 36.3 | 43.9 | 43.8 |
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- US Chicago PMI News
From drive.google.com|Jun 30, 2026The Chicago Business Barometer, produced with MNI, cooled 6.0 points to 56.7 in June. The Barometer remained in expansionary territory for a second consecutive month. The fall was driven by declines in New Orders and Production, while rises in Supplier Deliveries, Order Backlogs and Employment provided some offset. New Orders declined 11.7 points, partially unwinding the strong rise seen in May (which took the index to its highest level since January 2022). New Orders remain in expansion for a second consecutive month. Production ...
From advisorperspectives.com|May 29, 2026|2 commentsThe Chicago Purchasing Managers Index surged 13.5 points in May to a four-year high of 62.7, signaling an expansion in regional business activity. This marks the largest monthly increase since 2020 and was significantly higher than the projected 50.6. The Chicago PMI assesses the business conditions and the economic health of the manufacturing sector in the Chicago region. A value above 50.0 indicates expanding manufacturing activity, while a value below 50.0 indicates contracting manufacturing activity. Weak readings have often ...
From drive.google.com|Mar 31, 2026The Chicago Business Barometer, produced with MNI, tempered 4.9 points to 52.8 after three consecutive rises. Still, the Barometer has now spent three months in expansionary territory. The decline was driven by Employment, Production and New Orders. Lifts in Order Backlogs and Supplier Deliveries provided some offset. Employment weakened 12.8 points, now back in contractionary territory after one month above 50. However, the index remains considerably above levels seen at the end of 2025. Production lightened 9.3 points, driven ...
From drive.google.com|Feb 27, 2026|1 commentThe Chicago Business BarometerTM, produced with MNI, climbed 3.7 points to 57.7 in February. Extending Januarys strong increase, it saw a second consecutive month in expansionary territory after a run of twenty-five months below the key 50 mark. The rise was driven by increases in Production, Employment, New Orders and Supplier Deliveries. A decline in Order Backlogs provided some offset. Production strengthened 9.0 points to the highest level since November 2023, and marking two months above 50. Employment grew 7.7 points to ...
From zerohedge.com|Nov 26, 2025MNI's Chicago Business Barometer Report came in dramatically worse than expected for November, printing 36.3 (the lowest since May 2024), well below expectations of 43.6 and the prior print of 43.8. Under the hood, it was all ugly: Prices paid rose at a faster pace; signaling expansion New orders fell at a faster pace; signaling contraction Employment fell at a faster pace; signaling contraction Inventories fell at a faster pace; signaling contraction Supplier deliveries rose at a faster pace; signaling expansion ...
From zerohedge.com|Oct 31, 2025|1 commentThere's good news and bad news in today's macro data (what scarce data there is). MNI's Chicago Business Barometer (PMI) printed a better than expected 43.8 (42.3 exp), up from the prior 40.6... chart There's a little more good news as seven of the underlying components rose vs last month: Prices paid rose at a faster pace; signaling expansion New orders fell at a slower pace; signaling contraction Employment fell at a slower pace; signaling contraction Inventories fell at a slower pace; signaling contraction Supplier ...
From drive.google.com|Sep 30, 2025|1 commentThe Chicago Business BarometerTM, produced with MNI, fell 0.9 points to 40.6 in September. The index now sits 0.2 points above the June reading, having now almost fully unwound Julys 6.7 point rise. The index has now been below 50 for twenty-two consecutive months. The decline was driven by another sharp drop in New Orders, alongside declines in Supplier Deliveries and Employment. These dynamics were partly offset by rises in Production and Order Backlogs. New Orders dropped 7.0 points, leaving the index just above the ...
From drive.google.com|Aug 29, 2025The Chicago Business BarometerTM, produced with MNI slowed 5.6 points to 41.5 in August. This almost fully unwinds the rise seen in July. The index has now been below 50 for twenty-one consecutive months. The decline was driven by a sharp pullback in New Orders, alongside falls in Employment, Production and Order Backlogs. This was partly offset by a rise in Supplier Deliveries. New Orders dropped 10.8 points. This was the largest fall since September 2023, and was driven by a decrease in the proportion of respondents reporting ...
| Released on Jun 30, 2026 |
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| Released on May 29, 2026 |
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| Released on Mar 31, 2026 |
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| Released on Feb 27, 2026 |
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| Released on Nov 26, 2025 |
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| Released on Oct 31, 2025 |
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| Released on Sep 30, 2025 |
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| Released on Aug 29, 2025 |
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