The upcoming Federal Reserve FOMC policy meeting is not likely to result in a change to the Fed funds target rate range of 0-0.25%, nor the $120bn per month QE purchases split $80bn Treasuries and $40bn agency mortgage backed securities. However, we will be getting updated forecasts, including the Fed’s “dot plot” chart with markets looking to see if there are any signs of cracks in the Fed’s position that elevated inflation readings will be “transitory”. ith headline inflation at a 13-year high and core inflation at a near 30-year high, we suspect they will be a little more balanced on their assessment surrounding ... (full story)