I think where most people get caught up (not saying you are VC), is that a "slowing" economy (in contrast the wild growth of recent years) is not a bad thing. The economy is like the tide, it slows then speeds up, then slows...cycles. We just saw ...

I will take the opposite view. See you in 5 years to reevaluate the world and what happened in between. Not sure what you doomsayers are after. In my area of the US at least, gas is down 60-80% from pandemic levels. Good is in line (stable for the ...

I understand I will never convince you of this so this will be my final post. I don't care much to have the last word, just want to attempt conveying my thoughts in as clear (and polite) a fashion as possible. When you tell me: "if I only would have ...

On the equity side....S&P is down 0.2%. Nasdaq down 0.3%. Russell has come off over 2% from it's highs after the number. You were saying? Oh, right, that people have ZERO CLUE what the number means with respect to price action.....

sEp (Summary of Economic Projections): url

Totally different topics: prior commenters are saying the number was known ahead of time. Great. So what. It doesn't mean those who may have had the number could make the right call on the market movement. I mean, The Russell is up over 2 percent ...

You conspiracy theory guys crack me up some times. SO WHAT if someone knew? What could they do with that info? No one knows how the market will react to the news until price action hits the tape. Unless they just buy fed futures, they can take bets ...

Press conference starts....round 2 incoming. url

Keep in mind, the August insanity was calling for a cut within the week. A month ago, there was a lot less data than we have today as well. It took some time for the markets to digest the info. All that said, with the exception of the Russell (which ...

The sideways/up chop is going to be fodder for the press conference. Round 2 of craziness happens in 8 minutes....then round 3 about 40 minutes after that (once Powell leaves the stage). Equity prediction for a week from now? Lower than pre-FOMC cut ...

Not sure where you were living, but pre-covid gas in my area at the time (chicagoland) was still over $4/gallon. Eggs could be had at those sale prices though...but even now I'm able to get them at $0.99 on sale. Remember when candy bars used to ...

How is THIS for fed watch tool prediction (I guess the Sept future just expired)? image

While I, too, very much appreciate music from the "classic rock" era (Immigrant Song was pushing me through a couple of sets earlier this morning at the gym), I haven't heard much of Simple Minds...might have to give your link a listen. As for your ...

For the record: Anyone else seeing this 15 minute /es chart and starting to get a little suspicious? It's a good thing (for my positions) that I have never been able to accurately predict H&S patterns. You bears out there should be salivating at the ...

Sorry, VC. I have to challenge you on "large part". I'd say it's at LEAST 80/20 institutional to retail in equities (like the S&P - for ownership). HOWEVER, I will grant you that 20 is a lot higher than 7, so let's split the difference on who's ...

Sentiment across the board seems to be: "equity markets are at all time highs (I disagree with this based on the /nq an /rty, but whatever)....no matter what the fed does, markets have to sell off anyway". I'd love to see this thing just RIP to the ...

haha - at least you're sticking to you guns And I agree, that'd be a violent shift. Load up on those 4% down 0 DTE calls! Who would have thought this thing could realistically get to 50/50 minutes before the announcement? A week ago 85/15. ...

I agree with the unknown. I also stipulate that if I told you the number, you (nor I) could know exactly what the immediate outcome would be. Put a 0 DTE on in your favorite market based on 25. Now on 50. Did it change? Let's see how we do at the ...

Ironically, neither candidate has any "authority" to promise power rates (not that their influence is totally irrelevant)....but it probably looks good for headlines and to uninformed voters. Now, what the candidates COULD do is, if elected, push ...

I was thinking the same thing. ......That John Denver's full of $***, man. (sorry, cannot ever resist a Dumb and Dumber quote) Seriously though: I thought the $600 in sales must have been a typo (like leaving off the "million")...but no, I think it ...