FOMC Meeting - March Preview FOMC Economic Projections FOMC Statement Federal Funds Rate FOMC Press Conference Forecasts and expectations The Fed is widely expected to raise rates by 25 bps. The banking crisis, starting with the abrupt fall of SVB, ...

Natural Gas prices are very low after a warmer than expected winter in the US. Futures curve is showing prices should be going up from here: It's dangerous to initiate a position heading into the US summer, but if prices remain low or even head ...

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will testify before Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday as part of his semiannual monetary policy report. Traders will be watching for any clues on the Fed’s interest-rate outlook. Powell is expected to reiterate ...

US PPI - February Preview US Core PPI m/m US PPI m/m Forecasts While the data is important, historically it's not one that presents trading opportunities. Overall PPI is expected at 0.4%. The range of estimates are mostly between 0.3% to 0.5%. The ...

US Retail Sales - February Preview US Retail Sales m/m US Core Retail Sales m/m Forecasts Retail Sales m/m: There's a wide range of estimates between 0.5% and 3.0%. The median estimate is 2.0% and the average is 1.86%. Core Retail Sales m/m: Range ...

US CPI - February Preview US CPI y/y US CPI m/m US Core CPI m/m Forecasts US CPI y/y: Range of forecasts are between 6.1% and 6.4%. The average estimate is 6.23% and the median 6.2%. US CPI m/m: The range of forecasts are mostly between 0.4% and ...

US Employment Data - February Preview Non-Farm Employment Change Unemployment Rate Average Hourly Earnings m/m Forecasts NFP forecasts are mostly within a range of about 150K to 235K. The average estimate is 198K and median 190K. The more recent ...

FOMC Meeting - February Preview US Federal Funds Rate US FOMC Statement US FOMC Press Conference Forecasts and expectations The Fed will raise rates by 25 bps following last month's 50 bps increase and four straight 75 bps hikes. The market has ...

US PPI - January Preview url While the data is important, historically it's not one that presents trading opportunities. Additionally, it's being released alongside US retail sales. Expect volatility. Overall PPI is expected at -0.1%. The range of ...

The story after CPI is rate expectations for the Feb and March FOMC meetings. Both CPI and the core number came out as expected. Then, after the release Fed's Harker came out and backed the 25 bps rate hike for Feb. After the release, as of 9am, the ...

US CPI - January Preview US CPI m/m US Core CPI m/m US CPI y/y Forecasts US CPI m/m: I see good potential for a lower number even though the consensus forecast is already low at -0.1%. As we've gotten closer to the release, the forecasts are skewing ...

Fed Chair Powell Speaks Ahead of CPI on Friday, it's unlikely that he'll make any definitive statements on whether the Fed will hike by 25 or 50 bps. Regardless, it wouldn't be surprising to see the markets move. He'll likely stick with the script ...

US Employment Data - January Follow up Although NFP and the unemployment rate beat expectations, it was wage inflation that took center stage. Here's how the market reacted: What was behind the move? NFP came in at 223K vs 200K expected and ...

US Employment Data - January Preview US Non-Farm Employment Change US Unemployment Rate US Average Hourly Earnings m/m Forecasts The unemployment rate is widely expected to remain at 3.7%. Average hourly earnings is expected to tick down to 0.4% ...

FOMC Meeting - December Preview US FOMC Economic Projections US FOMC Statement US Federal Funds Rate US FOMC Press Conference Forecasts and expectations US Federal Funds Rate - The Fed is widely expected to raise rates by 50 bps. Anything other than ...