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- 138 Results (90 Replies , 48 Comments )
- Bones commented Nov 5, 2020
You're so focused on on the referendum date 2016 and the Brexit campaign. Lies on the bus when people feel the EU itself is a lie from a trading block This is deep rooted, you forget history to continue the remoaner narrative.... even with ...
- Bones commented Nov 4, 2020
He answered you, too kindly imo More specific answer If your question is did people of Kent vote for a car park? = the answer is no If your question is have the people of Kent changed there mind of the vote from the threat of car park ? = the the ...
- Bones replied Aug 16, 2020
Hi I think if this candle is blue small body theres no way it can come down next. also this move you're looking at won't go past 1800 easy on the weekly I'm looking at the wick rather than the move, which could take more than a week to recover.
- Bones commented Mar 31, 2020
I made a real time very simple model on todays data .I might add I posted this edited model probably 3 weeks ago and projected R0 at between 3-4 on world data ,mentioning it had to get on a plane and start a fresh elsewhere- It shows what happens if ...
- Bones commented Mar 30, 2020
I'm analysing it, I'm not making any political point. Even when I say Trump cost lives with his banter and attitude. Let alone the delay to the economy. History will record a super mess-up under Trump you can't spin out of it. No good claiming to ...
- Bones commented Mar 30, 2020
wrong I argued you can't get today's data to below 1% any way you spin it. When the dust settles that rate won't be below best case 3% and that's high on large numbers. It depends on what you do next how high that number is. 20% is right if you let ...
- Bones commented Mar 30, 2020
So you can use the basic model & predictability- to see how important it is to remove people early, the test /contact tracing was key South Korea or anywhere. How important it is to shut down now. Since in the West, it's been badly handled as a ...
- Bones commented Mar 30, 2020
It's following a straight line like that on the chart because it has a constant average R0 at this time with no mitigation or no new factor. That's how you forecast disease spread. You don't want to dip into demographics for projection because so ...
- Bones commented Mar 30, 2020
Here are the maths in another way, reference chart above equal doubling every 3 days exponential How fast you run out of any case if you ramp up not reported infections
- Bones commented Mar 30, 2020
yea it is how you manage it There are lots of other explanations but you're too lazy to find them media lol
- Bones commented Mar 29, 2020
yea you can predict it, do nothing like you indicated as economic growth damage may exceed the virus intervention {like Trump} =20% {very stable number } less those that are not counted assuming all those in the hospital would die since there ...
- Bones commented Mar 29, 2020
You can't project thinking the young are safe.No ones immune unless they got it already. Duration of immunity is unknown. Now go back to your first post and look at what you said. It's not known why this current version isn't targeting the young at ...
- Bones commented Mar 29, 2020
Old or young the death rates the same 3-4% of the world older people if you like , then your satisfied.
- Bones commented Mar 29, 2020
Back up your claims beyond your own world
- Bones commented Mar 29, 2020
wake up ! bring the report data sub 1% with a recent date
- Bones commented Mar 29, 2020
ok, carry on define it by age and percentage of the population. Every age group must get it even with that logic. Younger people are resistant to this virus all round, no one knows why But rest assured that can change just like the Spanish Flu, ...
- Bones commented Mar 29, 2020
There are many factors on the death rate, I mean a long list. It can change over time even on its own. But for an actual fact, it's not below 2% right now worldwide like I said, in all probability. More like 4% and highly contagious. With no medical ...
- Bones commented Mar 29, 2020
using the same formula as the Italy one above New York is 8.9% You're not going to get sub 1% at all, you can't juggle it If you doubled case it would be 4.45% but then how infectious is it, and how many don't bother reporting. I'm not hearing ...
- Bones commented Mar 29, 2020
ok make sense of your formula from New York